The "Reverse Bradley Effect"

Let's first look at the definition of "The Bradley Effect" :

The Bradley effect, less commonly called the Wilder effect,[1] is a proposed explanation for an alleged discrepancy between voter opinion polls and election outcomes in American political campaigns when a white candidate and a non-white candidate run against each other.[2][3][4] Named for Tom Bradley, an African-American who lost the 1982 California governor's race despite being ahead in some voter polls, the Bradley effect refers to an alleged tendency on the part of some voters to tell pollsters that they are undecided or likely to vote for a black candidate, and yet, on election day, vote for his/her white opponent.

Half-jokingly I told Patrick Ruffini, former online communications director for Rudy Giuliani, that he was a "Reverse Bradley Effect" waiting to happen. Knowing what I know about his admiration of the inner workings of the Obama campaign and his lust and longing for a right-wing netroots, I see Patrick as part of a potential trend : Of republicans who will say publicly they will vote for McCain but come November 4th they'll pull the level, in the privacy and the sanctity of their voting booth, for none other than Barack Obama. Why? 

There is more than enough evidence with the snap polls for the debates, the daily Gallup polls and the scores of the Conservative Intelligentsia endorsing Obama. That conservatives, more so than republicans, seemed to be scared shitless of the prospect of having not only 4 more years of neo-con economics but four more years of neoconism with the dangerous error that is Sarah Palin as President.

Of course, I am not saying Patrick will vote for Obama, but weirder shit has happened during this election campaign.

I mean, republicans were laughing at McCain not with McCain during one of the "undecideds" polls. You know what I mean?

http://culturekitchen.com/liza/blog/the_reverse_bradley_effect
Mouse over the text to select it, then press Ctrl-C to copy it.
No votes yet
About author

Liza Sabater is the founding blogger and publisher of culturekitchen and Daily Gotham. She also a new media producer and social technologist with 10 years experience. You can reach her at blogdiva [at] culturekitchen.com or follow her on Twitter at http://twitter.com/blogdiva

liza's picture



Post new comment

The content of this field is kept private and will not be shown publicly.
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.
  • You may link to webpages through the weblinks registry
  • You may post code using <code>...</code> (generic) or <?php ... ?> (highlighted PHP) tags.
  • Flash node macros can be added to this post.
  • Insert Flickr images: [flickr-photo:id=230452326,size=s] or [flickr-photoset:id=72157594262419167,size=m].
  • You may use [inline:xx] tags to display uploaded files or images inline.
  • Images can be added to this post.
  • Easily link to terms in various wikis. For help, see <a href="/interwiki/1">interwiki</a>.
  • Links to specified hosts will have a rel="nofollow" added to them.

  • You may post PHP code. You should include <?php ?> tags.
  • You may use <swf file="song.mp3"> to display Flash files inline
  • Textual smileys will be replaced with graphical ones.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • E-Mail addresses are hidden with reCAPTCHA Mailhide.
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.

User login

The Publisher
Liza Sabater

Daily servings of political dissent
culturekitchen

Grassroots News and
Activism for New Yorkers

Daily Gotham

Feminist Bloggers
Network

BlogSheroes

A new kind of vouyerism
Voogling

Art + Code + Philosophy
Potatoland.blog

Got any dirt, tips, leads or money for us? Then drop us a line or two at editors [at] culturekitchen [dot] com or use our general contact form to reach everybody in the editorial team ASAP.

Nibble daily on our brainy goodness with our daily syndication digest. You'll receive an email with a list and links to the previous day's posts.



Powered by FeedBlitz

Upcoming events

  • No upcoming events available

We read

QUOTES

Stopping global warming is not just about saving the environment for the hunters, fisherman, hikers, and other outdoor enthusiasts of today and tomorrow. Global warming is a matter of national security. Will we live in a world where we must fight our neighbors for fresh water and food?

— General Wesley Clark

Poll